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![]() ![]() When the Hoopla Is Over Will Obama Let Down Mexicans? Mexidata.info By Allan Wall - January 19, 2009 The hope in Mexico is that Obama will grant an amnesty to Mexican illegal aliens in the U.S. January 20th, 2009, was the inauguration of Barack Obama as President of the United States. What does this mean for the U.S., and the world? Does it mean the departure of the wicked George W. Bush, and his replacement with the marvelous Barack Obama who will bring peace, put an end to fear, and stop global warming? Thats the sort of over-the-top rhetoric weve been hearing. Many Obama supporters display a disturbing cult-like fervor, and the mainstream media didnt even bother to hide its pro-Obama bias during the election. Nevertheless, the Bush-as-root-of-all-evil crowd is in for a real letdown when they discover that Barack Obama cant deliver all thats been promised. Certainly the Bush administration has a lot to answer for, and its incompetence helped pave the way for Obamas victory. But after January 20th, its time for Obama to actually deliver something concrete. Disappointment is inevitable. In fact, Obama is not even president but some of the sheen is already wearing off. Ludicrously enough, Obama has already been blamed for the fighting in Gaza. In Iran, his posters have been publicly burned and hes been ridiculed by the chief of the powerful Council of Guardians. Who can doubt that Obama will not satisfy everybody in the Middle East. After all, who could? Venezuelas President Hugo Chavez, who was supposed to get on famously with Obama, has already turned against him. Bigmouth Hugo has accused Obama of meddling in Venezuela, and says Obama has the same stench as President Bush. (The stench part likely alludes to Hugos calling Bush the devil in a speech to the United Nations.) Obama isnt even president yet and already he has international critics. After his administration gets rolling, how can he avoid offending more people? For a U.S. president any U.S. president that must be impossible nowadays. The truth is, we dont know for certain how Obama will govern. Will he follow his far left background, or govern from the middle? How will he get along with Congress? Neither Obamas detractors nor his supporters can really tell us. Nor is there much in Obamas biography that can enlighten us. Except for a short stint as editor of Harvard Law Review, Obama has zero experience as a public administrator. And despite all the calls for hope and change, what objective observer can doubt that Obama will continue many Bush policies, just as Bush continued some Clinton policies? In Mexico there are some great expectations about the new Obama administration. Polling indicates that among Mexicans who had an opinion (because all didnt) most preferred Obama over McCain. Last summer I heard a Mexican talking who thought Obama already was the president! Given the media coverage, thats understandable. The hope in Mexico is that Obama will grant an amnesty to Mexican illegal aliens in the U.S. However, those who think that may be disappointed. In the first place, a U.S. president cant simply snap his fingers and grant an amnesty to millions of illegal aliens. Although he doesnt get credit for it in Mexico, George W. Bush tried repeatedly to give illegal aliens an amnesty. Bush failed, not for lack of trying but because illegal alien amnesty is quite unpopular, and the legislation was stopped by grassroots opposition. The same thing could happen to Obama if he tries. In the Senate a new bill that could provide an amnesty has already been introduced, but who knows what will become of it? Furthermore, despite lip service, illegal alien amnesty is probably not near the top of Obamas priorities. If reactivating the economy and creating jobs are Obamas priorities, then how keenly are American voters going to view amnesty or a guest worker program? In fact, Obamas chief of staff Rahm Emanuel told an Hispanic activist that he does not foresee comprehensive immigration reform (amnesty) during Obamas first administration. Not only that, but according to a Pew Hispanic Center poll, for U.S. Hispanics, immigration is not even their most important political issue. It came in at #6, with the economy at #1. Therefore, enacting an amnesty for Mexican illegal aliens may not be any easier under Obama than it was under Bush. Which means that, eventually, after all the hoopla and euphoria wears off, its quite possible that Barack Obama is going to disappoint Mexicans.
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The Latino community came out in big numbers for Obama and will hold his feet to the fire on immigration but at the same time they have the same concerns as the rest of the country over the nose-diving economy. I don't see how he could push immigration reform through right now.
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I agree. Immigration reform, by necessity, is way down the list of priorities right now. Given time, if Obama is successful on any one of the myriad issues facing him, it will give him momentum to fulfill other campaign "promises".
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